Us Representative
Likely voters (LV)
3 individual polls. Rows are ordered by field end date; points are not connected.
Brennan Barrington
Don Leonard
Mike Carey
Mike Carey 45%
Don Leonard 40%
Brennan Barrington 3%
Mike Carey 45%
Don Leonard 46%
Mike Carey 45%
Don Leonard 48%
View this chart as an accessible table
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Answer | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 to Jun 25, 2026 | Hart Research Associates | 550 | Mike Carey | 45% | Original ↗ |
| Jun 23, 2026 to Jun 25, 2026 | Hart Research Associates | 550 | Don Leonard | 40% | Original ↗ |
| Jun 23, 2026 to Jun 25, 2026 | Hart Research Associates | 550 | Brennan Barrington | 3% | Original ↗ |
| Sep 22, 2026 to Sep 24, 2026 | Hart Research Associates | 500 | Mike Carey | 45% | Original ↗ |
| Sep 22, 2026 to Sep 24, 2026 | Hart Research Associates | 500 | Don Leonard | 46% | Original ↗ |
| Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026 | Hart Research Associates | 503 | Mike Carey | 45% | Original ↗ |
| Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026 | Hart Research Associates | 503 | Don Leonard | 48% | Original ↗ |